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Bill to Adopt Socialism Passes Parliament, Public Referendum to be held Saturday Friday 13 April 2018 - Politics - William V. McDonald, RPI Political Analyst
On Thursday evening, the Founding Congress of Ramelia passed a bill to send to public referendum the content recommended by the Ministry of the Future Thursday morning. The 1025 member chamber (1000 constituencies, the Prime Minister, the President, and the Ministers) passed the bill in a 583-398-0-44 vote, with the Separatists absent as normal. The referendum, whose timing was an extreme point of contention, will be held between today and Saturday, with poll closings occurring Sunday at midnight UTC.
Composition of the Founding Congress House of Representatives (left or above the other image), from left: Liberal-Socialist Bloc 693, Executive Officers (caucusing with the Lib.Soc. Bloc) 25, Conservative-Moderate Bloc 263, Separatists 44. The massive House of Commons (left or below the House of Reps.), which is sortitioned, has yet to enter to session (so did not get a vote on this bill). Its composition will be, from left: Communists (extreme left) 1385, Socialist Democrats 11638, Greens (moderate left) 1026, Moderates 3923, Conservatives 1803, Separatists 225.
RPI will soon be breaking down the wild events of yesterday, as well as the content of the bill whose fate will be determined Saturday.
RPI Special Live Coverage Referendum on the Adoption of Socialism Hosted by RPI Political Analyst William V. McDonald • 14 April 2018
On 14 April 2018, Ramelans go to the polls to decide the fate of a rapidly passed bill to end capitalism and in Ramelia. Polls close at 00:00 UTC 15 April (unless qualified electors are waiting in line), and voting is mandatory. Turnout is expected to be about 23,000,000, of 23,500,000 registered voters. RPI, for the first time, will be providing live analysis.
YEA has won the referendum. Socialist policies will go into effect across Ramelia soon.
Update 1: 22:57 14 April
Good afternoon. I am William McDonald, and I will be bringing you tonight's referendum results. The Ramelic government has just issued (UTC) Friday voting results. The pre-election-day results are released, by law inherited from the Odd Republic, one hour and fifteen minutes before poll closing on Election Day.
Through analysis of past Oddish and Ramelic elections, RPI has devised a model predictive of final outcomes based on early voting. It currently, with a 42-56-2 split in YEA-NAY-ABSTAIN voting, predicts a NAY victory with 60% of the vote. We can predict that NAY has a 83% chance of winning.
Update 2: 23:13 14 April
We have now received the last permissible exit polling data with an hour to go before polls close. We now can revise our prediction of the final result. YEA, or the pro-socialism voters, account for an impressive portion of those polled. Our prediction is now a NAY win with 46% of the vote (YEA 44%, ABSTAIN 10%), and only a 51% chance of winning. While in past, the Election Day crowd has been much, much more conservative than the vote at large, today's Election Day populous appears to be vigorously liberal (YEA) compared with the electorate as a whole. As usual, ABSTAIN voters are much more prevalent than they are among the pre-election voters today.
Update 3: 00:46 15 April
Welcome back. With polls closed, we can project that YEA has won a stunning, landslide victory. Our projection system has been upended, perhaps because of the suddenness of this referendum. Some votes are still outstanding, but lean towards YEA. Socialist policies RPI shall soon explain will take effect in the coming months. The magnitude of this victory is unbelievable, and people will look on it in future as a turning point in the creation of Ramelia. Yea has won counted votes from Election Day by about a 6,000,000 to 2,000,000 margin.